Inflation Rises – But Is It Worse Than Expected?
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has confirmed that inflation rose to 3.8% in July. At first glance, that sounds like a worrying development for households and businesses. But before assuming the worst, it’s worth looking a little closer at the figures. In line with expectations The Bank of England had forecast inflation of 3.76% for July, so the actual figure is very close. While some headlines highlight the “unexpected” rise, it is broadly consistent with what economists were predicting. The Bank still expects inflation to peak at around 4% in September, before easing in the autumn. The role of [...]







